Psychotherapy for Traders in a Bull Market

Vitaliy Katsenelson  Jun 11, 2009 10:50 am

Psychotherapy for Traders in a Bull Market
 
If you let the market tell you what to do, you have no process.
 

 
We all have stocks in which we lost a lot of money because we were overconfident. We tend to forget about them during a bull market. But I suggest you remember them now, so you’ll have fewer of those names to remember in the future. Risk is still there; it's just hiding under the joyful sentiment of the bull market.

Believe me, it will show its ugly face. It's just a matter of time.

Discipline Counts


In a bull market, it is easy to forget about selling discipline and then turn into a “buy-and-forget-to-sell” investor. Every time you sell a stock, you look dumb because it usually goes up afterward.

I recently sold several stocks. Shamelessly, paying absolutely no attention to the fact that I sold them, they went higher. I don’t feel smart about that decision. However, when I bought those stocks, I set valuation targets. When they approached the targets, I quickly reviewed their fundamentals. They hadn't changed much. The decision was obvious: Sell.

Cyclical bull markets teach us not to sell, while cyclical bear markets teach us not to buy. If you let the market tell you what to do, you have no process.

But the bell doesn’t ring when bull or bear markets are over.

You can't worry about marking the top in every sell. My objective isn't to buy at the “bottom” and sell at the "top.” My objective is to buy a great company when it's cheap and to sell it when it's fairly valued. I suggest you do the same.
41 of 41 (100%) found this helpful
Rate this article:  (41 Votes)
Comments (2) See All Comments »
06-12-2009, 10:34 am
Humans are little different than the animals we see every day. Watch what happens at the park when a female dog is in heat, and you can see what happens to teenagers watching television advertising. The emotions that rule our lives are constantly the
Read More
06-12-2009, 11:16 am
Hubris, ego, confirmation bias, over confidence, group think, fear, greed and so on.

Let me count the many different ways we can destroy ourselves.

I heard a great quote the other day. It's only hubris if I lose.
Read More
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
F »AMZN »HIG »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert