Spending Still a Bad Idea Scott Reeves Sep 29, 2008 1:45 pm |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
|
Flat consumer spending suggests the economy continues to slow in the second half of the year. Consumer spending makes up about 70% of the nation's GDP.
Personal consumption expenditures -- PCE, in government-speak -- rose 0.6% in July.
Personal income rose at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.5% in August compared with July. For August, analysts had expected a 0.2% increase in personal income and consumer spending.
A year ago, the personal consumer expenditure index rose 4.5%. The PCE index, excluding food, gasoline and other energy -- or core PCE -- rose 0.2% in August after a 0.3% increase in July.
The Federal Reserve keeps an eye on the year-over-year core PCE for signs of inflation. In general, price stability is defined as inflation of 1.5% to 2%.
The Commerce Department says wages and salaries increased $24.5 billion in August, up from $16.3 billion in July.
Disposable income in August, or income after taxes, fell 0.9% after dropping 0.8% in July. Rebates, expected to total $106.7 billion for the year, ended in July.
Personal current taxes increased $154.9 billion in August, compared with an increase of $21.9 billion in July. Provisions of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 reduced the level of current taxes by $7.3 billion at an annual rate in August, by $159.9 billion in July and by $185 billion in June. The reductions in current personal taxes reflected rebate payments to eligible individual taxpayers.
Spending on durable goods, or those designed to last 3 or more years, rose 1.4% in August. Such expenditures declined 3.1% in July. Spending on non-durable goods fell 0.6% in August after climbing 0.5% in July.
Personal savings as a percentage of disposable income was 1% in August down from 1.9% in July. Saving from current income may be near zero or negative when outlays are financed by borrowing -- including use of credit cards or home equity loans -- by selling investments or other assets or by dipping into savings, the Commerce Department reported.
Meanwhile, increasing numbers of car buyers are having difficulty financing new vehicles. This follows the slowdown in auto sales caused by high fuel prices.
Automakers are scheduled to report September sales on Wednesday. Analysts expect sales on new vehicles to remain at a 15-year low. J.D. Power & Associates pegs the seasonally adjusted sales at 12.6 million vehicles, down from 16.2 million a year ago. Such sales would undercut the view that the auto industry has bottomed out following a slow summer.
Domestic auto makers have cut way back on vehicle leasing and lenders have significantly toughened standards as credit tightens.
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
No Position in Stocks Mentioned.
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides
















