Washington Continues to Ignore Root of Housing Problem

Andrew Jeffery  Oct 16, 2008 8:45 am

Washington Continues to Ignore Root of Housing Problem
 
Injecting capital into banks won't stop home price declines.
 

 
Some say the definition of insanity is trying the same thing over and over again, expecting a different result. By that measure, voters should load up on straitjackets this November and drag everyone in Washington off to the nuthouse.

Despite overwhelming evidence that we're in the middle of a debt crisis, regulators insist they're wrestling a liquidity crunch. And all the while, a cancer continues to eat away at the guts of the economy: The housing market. Only when it stabilizes will the financial system and, by extension, the economy -- recover.

And yet, despite this widely recognized fact, the recent $700 bailout package contains little support for struggling homeowners. Even the $250 billion being dumped into banks will have only a minor effect on property values.


Smothered under the weight of falling home prices and tight credit conditions, consumers are reining in spending, as evidenced by yesterday’s bleak retail sales data. The economy is following the housing market into the abyss.

Since last summer, Washington's tactic has been to encourage loan modifications through HOPE NOW and Project Lifeline and to widen the scope of government-backed loan programs via the Federal Housing Administration, Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE).

As noted in the Wall Street Journal and discussed ad nauseum here in the 'Ville, these measures are woefully inadequate to stem the continued decline in housing prices.

As property values fall, over-leveraged borrowers find themselves underwater, or owing more on a house than it's worth. In order to sell, the homeowner must come up with the difference between the sales price and the balance of their mortgage. For most, this is cash that simply doesn’t exist.

As a result, homes sit on the market for months, further pressuring home values. Despite the insistence by some real-estate agents that this is a buyer’s market, it most certainly is not. Until bloated inventories fall, home prices will continue to slide, making buying a home a dangerous proposition in the vast majority of the country.

Meanwhile, politicians continue to bang their heads against the proverbial wall, backing programs that simply do not work with the scope and efficiency that’s needed. Loan modifications, opening up mortgage guidelines and providing tax breaks so homebuilders like Centex (CTX), Pulte Homes (PHM) and KB Homes (KBH) can sell more overpriced houses may help a select few, but they do little to address the root of the problem.

Until taxpayer funds are appropriated to absorb negative equity, price discovery in the housing market will be a long, agonizing process.
Rate this article:  (0 Votes)
Comments (43) See All Comments »
10-16-2008, 9:53 pm
Blighted neighborhoods?

Do you mean the new developments where a family bought one house in a 100 acre field and then the builder went bankrupt? All that's left is a big, muddy mess.

We need to turn the herds around an
Read More
10-16-2008, 10:53 pm
Kurt,

Thank you for the contributions, nothing better than long term real world experience and perspective.

I see this as the manifestation of a societal problem versus a market correction or financial one.

We c
Read More
10-16-2008, 11:26 pm
oops, forgot a couple lines:

Each year it seems that year's graduating class expects more for less, and their time horizon is shorter and more one-dimensional. Maybe it's becuase I'm getting older, but I believe it is
Read More
10-17-2008, 10:56 am
Personally, I don't thing the Bush administration thinks that far ahead about what they are doing. An offhand view of what they have done in the past 8 years is to maintain the status quo direction of telling people they are 'Conservative
Read More
10-17-2008, 1:55 pm
Dan,

We agree!

Too much greed and consumption and waste, definitely.

The politics is to me more of a game. I don't trust either party. Both parties had two feet in this mess: earmarks, pork, big contribu
Read More
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
SPX »AMZN »RIMM »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert