The Coming Currency Crisis Jeffrey Cooper Jun 10, 2009 10:35 am |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
![]() |
|||||
| more Jeff Cooper's Daily Market Report » | |||||
|
And then the man he steps right up to the microphone
And says at last just as the time bell rings
Goodnight, now it’s time to go home
And he makes it fast with one more thing.
Sultans Of Swing (Dire Straits)
Over the last month, I’ve shown what may turn out to be a pivotal period for the Federal Reserve -- and therefore for the US as a whole.
95 years from December 24, 2008 is 1913, when the Federal Reserve Act was signed (when much of Congress was on vacation), and the Fed was born. 76 years from 2008 was 1932 and the heart of the Great Depression. It took less than 20 years for the mother of all panics to play out into the economic death spiral of depression. On the Wheel of Time & Price, 95 and 76 are on the same vector -- they vibrate off each other. Moreover, remarkably they align and resonate with the date of July 4, the US's birthday.

Click to enlarge
Something important happened in the stock market in July 2008. The S&P broke below the level of the leg down from the high at the 1250-ish level and began a new death spiral. Did the convergence of July 2008 and the DNA of the numbers 95 and 76 signify the beginning of the end or the end of the beginning of the crisis?
Given that the Fed was born on the cusp of 1913-1914, does that mean that this July will choreograph momentous change as well? Will the red shoots from the second half of 2008 sprout Venus Fly Traps for the bulls in July 2008? Will the steroids of stimulus strike out and the sultans of swing sell out into quarter end? Will the seeds of chaos for the dollar sown in 2008 take root a year later this July?
The International Monetary Fund said it's possible to take the revolutionary step of creating a new global reserve currency to replace the dollar over time. As much as 70% of the world’s currency reserves are held in dollars. According to the IMF, leading nations call to diversify their hoards of dollars to avoid excess exposure to the US economy. The fear is stimulated by the quadrupling of the US budget.

Of course, things are different now than they were in the Great Depression. That could never happen again. Then, the US was a creditor nation. Now it's the largest debtor on the face of the earth. Can the largest debtor dominate any currency arrangement today?
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides



















