Randoms: Is Quarter-End Mark-Up Fact or Fiction?

Todd Harrison  Jun 29, 2009 12:35 pm

Randoms: Is Quarter-End Mark-Up Fact or Fiction?
 
Fund managers jockey for position before they put pen to paper.
 

Editor's Note: The following was posted in real time on our premium Buzz & Banter (clock for a free trial). It's being shared here for the benefit of the Minyanville community.


Gate Sniffage! - 10:20 am
 


For What It's Worth - 10:40 am

I chewed through my stream of consciousness in the last buzz and, as a follow up, will offer this thought.  The S&P rallied ten handles and the master beta complex (Amazon (AMZN), Research in Motion (RIMM), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Baidu (BIDU)) is flattish at best.

As I often tell Buzz Editor and all around good dude Terry Woo, "If they're not going up, they're going down."  You know my position--I've since added to it and have defined my risk to the other side of $85--but as I'm thinking it, you're reading it.

Doesn't make it right, mind you, but it certainly makes it honest.

Head up, eyes positive and hold on loosely....


Let my inspiration flow in token rhyme, suggesting rhythm - 11:45 am
 

  • Do YOU remember the 60's?

  • Y'all watching this mini-dandruff in play below S&P 930ish? That's "a" level opposed to the level at S&P 950 (or S&P 900 as the case may be).

  • Away form the four-letter fray, the action in the financials (Citigroup (C), JP Morgan (JPM), Bank America (BAC)) is equally uninspiring thus far (in the context of an "up ten tape").

  • At least through the lens of what truly inspires, such as Mario Lopez in The Greg Louganis Story (I haven't seen it but Minyan Editor Matt Theal swears by his performance).

  • Breadth? Working nine to five (what a way to make a living) on the big board but curiously flat in the NASDAQ.

  • Social unrest in Iran. A coup in Honduras. Riots in Europe. If there was ever a "theme" I wished I was wrong on, it would be this.

  • Inspiration, move me brightly. Light the song with sense and color, hold away despair.

  • The savvy soothsayin' Jeff Saut offered a bullish bent on Japan today. As Minyans might recall, I mused in January that Japan, with a 25-year head start down Deflationary Road, would out-perform U.S equities this year (the Nikkei is currently up 10.5% vs. "flattish" U.S proxies (DJIA -3%, S&P +2.5%).

  • Finally, the tougher "it" gets out there, the more I'm seeing people do things they might not ordinarily do. We often say bad times define good friends just as bad seasons define good fans. An extension of that is that tough times define character and the way we forge forward will define us as people. Now, more than ever, honesty, trust and respect remain the foundational constructs of any successful endeavor.

  • Dew to chew on as we find our way. As always, I hope this finds you well.


R.P.

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Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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